Monday, February 9, 2026

1) West Papuan civilians forced to flee again from Indonesian military operations


2) Pathways to Peace in West Papua: The Need for a Humanitarian Pause and Inclusive Dialogue

3) Indigenous Papuans allegedly shot dead during military operation in Intan Jaya

4) Series of unlawful arrests in Dekai continues: Navy officers arbitrarily detain two activists in Yahukimo Regency
---------------------------------------------



1) West Papuan civilians forced to flee again from Indonesian military operations
 Andrew Mathieson 
Published February 9, 2026 at 4.30am (AWST




Human Rights Defenders captured an image of fleeing Papuan villagers from Indonesian military bombs. Image: Supplied.




Indonesian military strikes in Indigenous West Papuan territory have forced civilians to flee villages and refugee camps into the forests for shelter.

The air and land raids in the Puncak Regency, an administrative division of Indonesia, have continued through this month since the first of the operations were launched on January 31.

Recent West Papuan social media posts report a flood of people cut off from food sources and other basic supplies.

The affected Papuans had been residing in the Kembru district in Puncak, which had initially become a refuge for those already displaced by earlier fighting in Pogoma and other surrounding districts.

At least nine separate villages in the district had been affected by the military operations.


Indonesian authorities were also believed to have cut internet access for a number of days, which prevented civilians from reporting what was happening locally to the outside world.

Human Rights Defenders say they have witnessed drone strikes near civilian settlements and refugee sites, leading to families having little choice but to flee on foot for several kilometres through forests.

More civilians from Puncak have sought safety and refuge in the regency's villages of Sinak and Yambi.

Human Rights Defenders, an official term within the international human rights community which according to the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights can include community leaders, journalists, lawyers and students or members of human rights organisations, have demanded that refugee areas be protected under international law.

In a statement, the advocates have asked for an immediate stop to the Indonesian military operations in civilian and refugee areas; protection and humanitarian access for displaced communities; and respect for the human rights of civilians in the Central Papua province of the Indonesian state.

"If operations are against armed groups, civilians must not be placed in harm's way," the statement said.

Benny Wenda, the chairman of the United Liberation Movement for West Papua and founder of the Free West Papua campaign, acting on behalf of three united independence groups seeking sovereignty for the Western New Guinean land, has confirmed the reports of violence.

Mr Wenda says this is an ongoing colonial project, sustained by foreign governments that continue to arm Jakarta and legitimised by the "shameful silence" of Asian-Pacific regional powers including Australia.

"We are murdered, tortured, and raped, and then our land is stolen for resource extraction and corporate profitwhen we flee," he told the Asia Pacific Solidarity Network on the eve of the first military strikes.



—————————————————————————

2) Pathways to Peace in West Papua: The Need for a Humanitarian Pause and Inclusive Dialogue

By Cahyo Pamungkas February 9, 2026 

In January 2026, Human Rights Monitor reported that the number of refugees in Indonesia’s West Papua province had reached 105,878. These people, mostly Papuan native, fled from their home villages due to the protracted armed conflict between Indonesian armed forces and the West Papua National Liberation Army.  My recent article provides some cases of violent impact on Papuan natives, and proposes an alternative approach to ending the conflict.

Following reforms in 1998, state policy in Papua has been divided into two domains: governance–development, and security. The 2001 Special Autonomy (Otsus) was designed as a political compromise addressing the aspirations of the Papuan elite, ensuring fiscal decentralisation, acknowledgement of indigenous Papuan rights, and frameworks for addressing human rights breaches. Nevertheless, its execution has prioritised budgetary transfers over meaningful political transformation. Accountability procedures, including human rights courts and truth commissions, have been ineffective (Chairullah, 2021). The 2021 extension of Otsus was implemented without participatory assessment, effectively reinforcing centralisation and eliciting significant opposition from indigenous communities and religious authorities.

Accelerated development policies have not succeeded in mitigating conflict. Extensive infrastructure initiatives, exemplified by the Trans-Papua Highway, have increased overall economic growth, yet failed to mitigate structural inequities. The migrant population has reaped greater benefits from development, whilst regions predominantly inhabited by indigenous Papuans fall behind in welfare metrics (Pamungkas, 2021Elisabeth et al., 2021). An evaluation by the national defence agency determined that economic growth is not directly associated with a reduction in violence (Lemhannas RI, 2023). Concurrently, the state has enhanced its security efforts. Notwithstanding the increased presence of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) and the Indonesian National Police (Polri), armed opposition factions have endured and strengthened (Pamungkas & Rusdiarti, 2017). Data indicates an increase in violence after 2016, especially in the Central Highlands region (IPAC, 2022).

The geographical dynamics of the war indicate a notable spatial transformation. In the initial phase of integration, the conflict was mostly focused in the Bird’s Head region and the border with Papua New Guinea; but, during the 2000s, violence has shifted to Nduga, Intan Jaya, Puncak, Mimika, and Yahukimo. Approximately 69% of violent episodes are associated with separatist dynamics, underscoring Papua’s status as a prolonged political war (UGM Papua Task Force, 2022). The nearness of combat to civilian areas heightens the likelihood of civilian casualties and widespread relocation. The prevalence of violence in politically and culturally significant regions signifies the inadequacy of governance measures to resolve historical grievances.

The humanitarian consequences of the fighting are dire. IPAC data indicates a significant rise in civilian fatalities post-2018 (IPAC, 2022). Civil society organizations have recorded infringements of the right to life, gunshot injuries, and intimidation by many armed entities. The displaced individuals are primarily women, children, and the elderly, who have restricted access to essential services. Security operations have adversely affected civilian infrastructure, with schools and health institutions being occupied or destroyed, hence intensifying societal vulnerability (Amnesty International Indonesia, 2023Jaringan Damai Papua, 2022). Extended displacement has resulted in starvation, avoidable illnesses, and psychological distress, exacerbating the marginalisation of indigenous Papuans.

A major issue is the lack of accountability. Amnesty International has recorded numerous instances of extrajudicial executions occurring in the absence of reliable law enforcement procedures (Amnesty International Indonesia, 2023). Human rights tribunals have inadequately administered justice, leaving numerous historical abuses unaddressed. The application of force frequently contravenes the criteria of legality, proportionality, and accountability mandated by international human rights standards (United Nations, 1990). A culture of impunity erodes public confidence and strengthens views of systemic unfairness. In the absence of truth and reparation, the cycle of violence is prone to recurrence (Widjojo et al., 2010).

West Papua needs a humanitarian pause as a means of de-escalation. A humanitarian pause is a temporary halt in hostilities aimed at safeguarding civilians and facilitating assistance access, rather than conferring political legitimacy on armed groups (OCHA, 2011). Prior initiatives suggested in Geneva demonstrated promise but faltered owing to insufficient domestic political backing. Global evidence indicates that humanitarian pauses can alleviate civilian distress and foster minimum trust when supported by reliable monitoring (Drexler, 2006).  

Moreover, open discussion serves as the cornerstone for enduring peace. For example, the Indonesian Government and Free Aceh Movement signed  the 2005 Memorandum of Understanding in Helsinki, ending the armed conflict since 1976. The Aceh case demonstrates that protracted disputes can be resolved through discussions facilitated by third-party mediation and a robust legal framework (Aspinall, 2005). Dialogue necessitates the prior internal consolidation of Papuan players to enhance political representation (Pamungkas & Rusdiarti, 2016).

Dialogue is seen as a mechanism for conflict transformation that confronts historical grievances and identity, facilitating de-securitisation that military strategies have been unable to accomplish (Lederach, 1997). The Papua conflict represents a crisis of structural governance. Ongoing militarisation exacerbates misery without eradicating opposition.

Sustainable peace necessitates a transition to a humanistic and dialogic methodology. A humanitarian pause alleviates civilian distress and fosters initial trust, whereas inclusive discussion creates a forum for addressing political legitimacy and reconciliation. In the absence of these measures, Papua faces the peril of becoming ensnared in a cycle of recurrent bloodshed. The shift in policy towards dialogue is both a moral need and a strategic requirement for Indonesia’s stability.

Keywords: West Papua, Papua, Indonesia, conflict, peace, conflict resolution, ceasefire, humanitarian, inclusive, dialogue


Cahyo Pamungkas 
related posts 
Cahyo Pamungkas is a researcher atthe National Research and Innovation Agency of the Republic of Indonesia (BRIN). His research focuses on Melanesian studies and minority rights, particularly in relation to conflict, peace and development. His writings have been published by Pallgrave MacMillan, Springer,Suvannabhumi, Asian Journal of Peace Building,Journal of Peace and Development, Pacific Affairs, Indonesia and the Malay World, Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, and Journal of Intercultural Communication. Cahyo can be reached via email:cahy009@brin.go.id. His orchid number ishttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0299-127X 

—————————————————


Human Rights Monitor


3) Indigenous Papuans allegedly shot dead during military operation in Intan Jaya

On the night of 2 February 2026, personnel of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) reportedly shot dead Mr Pit Nayagau during a raid conducted on the outskirts of Dogatalipa Road, along the Dogabu River, located in the Sugapa District, Intan Jaya Regency, Central Papua Province. Pit Nayagau was shot dead at the scene, while Nato Japugau sustained gunfire but managed to escape. The body of Pit Nayagau was discovered on 3 February 2026.
On the night of 2 February 2026, Pit Nayagau and his friend were walking from Jalai Village towards Sugapa town via Dogatalipa Road. They did not know that Indonesian military personnel from Sugapa town had already been deployed in the area as part of a military raid. Upon encountering the two indigenous men, military personnel reportedly opened fire without warning. Mr Pit Nayagau was fatally shot. His friend managed to flee from the scene without being hit by bullets.
Following the shooting, Indonesian military personnel dumped the body in bushes along the Dogabu Riverbank. Villagers passing through the area discovered the body on 3 February 2026 and informed residents of Jalai Village, who subsequently evacuated the victim to the village, where the body was cremated. Local informants further reported that, that TNI personnel brought logistics to Jalai Village, allegedly damaging a Catholic church and a civilian house there. The TNI activities in the immediate vicinity of indigenous villages have created an atmosphere of fear and insecurity among the local population.

Human rights analysis

Based on the preliminary information received, the killing of Mr Pit Nayagau constitutes a prima facie case of extrajudicial execution, as prohibited under Article 6 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR). The use of lethal force against unarmed civilians travelling on a public road, without warning and outside any active hostilities, violates the right to life and the strict standards governing the use of force by state security forces aligned in the UN Basic Principles on the Use of Force and Firearms by Law Enforcement Officials. The alleged disposal of the victim’s body further indicates an attempt to conceal unlawful conduct and obstruct accountability.
The reported shooting of Mr Nayagau’s friend corroborates allegations that military personnel fired indiscriminately at civilians. In addition, the prior destruction of civilian property and a place of worship may amount to collective punishment and the deliberate creation of terror among the civilian population.
Indonesian authorities are obliged to conduct a prompt, thorough, independent, impartial, and transparent investigation into these allegations in line with international standards. Given the persistent and re-occurring pattern of human rights violations in Intan Jaya Regency, an independent international investigation is urgently required. All suspected perpetrators, including commanding officers under the principle of command responsibility, must undergo investigations and trial if incriminating evidence has been uncovered.

Villagers broought Mr Pit Nayagau’s body to Jalai Village on 3 February 2026

Detailed Case Data
Location: 726J+5QG, Bilogai, Sugapa, Intan Jaya Regency, Central Papua 98768, Indonesia (-3.7395623, 137.0319626) Dogatalipa Road, along the Dogabu River, between Sugapa Town and Jalai Village
Region: Indonesia, Central Papua, Intan Jaya, Sugapa
Total number of victims: 1
#Number of VictimsName, DetailsGenderAgeGroup AffiliationViolations
1.Pit Nayagau
maleadult Indigenous Peoplesexecution, right to life, unlawful killing
Period of incident: 02/02/2026 – 02/02/2026
Perpetrator: , Indonesian Military (TNI)
Issues: indigenous peoples, security force violence


————————————————————
Human Rights Monitor

4) Series of unlawful arrests in Dekai continues: Navy officers arbitrarily detain two activists in Yahukimo Regency

On 31 January 2026, personnel of the Indonesian Navy Marine Corps stationed at the Km 6 guard post arbitrarily detained two activists, Mr Alokni Keroman and Mr Oroni Gombo (see photo on top, source: independent HRD), in Dekai Town, Yahukimo Regency, Papua Highlands Province. Both men are affiliated with the West papua National Committe (KNPB), a civil movement organisation that that promotes the right to self-determination through peaceful means. Both were detained for approximately two hours without an arrest warrant, formal charges, or access to legal safeguards, before being released.
The case is part of as series of arrests that have reportedly occurred in Dekai as a result of increased military presence in Dekai since November 2025. Human rights defenders documented a significant increase in arbitrary detentions and other forms of military violence in the Jalan Gunung area of Dekai between November and January 2026.
At around 6:30 am, Mr Alokni Keroman and Mr Oroni Gombo left their home and travelled towards Km 7 to assist their parents with farm work. Around 7:00 am, they were stopped by Indonesian military personnel stationed at the Km 6 Marine Corps task force post. Without having incriminating evidence, the officers accused the two activists of being affiliated with the West Papua National Liberation Army (TPNPB), an allegation they denied.
The activists were reportedly ordered to enter the guard post, where they were interrogated. During questioning, Mr Alokni Keroman stated that both men were civilian political activists engaged openly in KNPB activities in the Yahukimo region. He reportedly presented photographs documenting peaceful KNPB activities as evidence. Despite the absence of any incriminating evidence, both men were detained inside the post for approximately two hours and subsequently released without explanation or documentation.

Human rights analysis

The short-term detention of Mr Alokni Keroman and Mr Oroni Gombo amounts to arbitrary deprivation of liberty and intimidation of civilian political activists. The use of military personnel to detain unarmed civilians engaged in lawful daily activities contributes to psychological intimidation and collective fear, amounting to psychological harassment. This conduct risks creating a climate of coercion and mental trauma among the local population and undermines fundamental civil and political rights as enshrined in the International Covenant on Civil an Political Rights (ICCPR).
The arbitrary arrest of Mr Keroman and Mr Gombo appears to have been based solely on political affiliation and suspicion, rather than on lawful grounds, evidence, or judicial oversight. Such practices reflect a pattern of discriminatory treatment against Papuan civilians in conflict-affected areas of West Papua, particularly in Yahukimo Regency, where human rights defenders documented a significant increase in arbitrary detentions in the Jalan Gunung area of Dekai between November and January 2026.
Detailed Case Data
Location: Dekai, Yahukimo regency, Highland Papua, Indonesia (-4.8638158, 139.4837298) 
Region: Indonesia, Highland Papua, Yahukimo, Dekai
Total number of victims: 2
#Number of VictimsName, DetailsGenderAgeGroup AffiliationViolations
1.Alokni Keroman
maleapproximate Activist, Indigenous Peoplesarbitrary detention
2.Oroni Gombo
maleadult Activist, Indigenous Peoplesarbitrary detention
Period of incident: 31/01/2026 – 31/01/2026
Perpetrator: , Indonesian Navy (TNI-AL)
Issues: indigenous peoples, security force violence
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, February 7, 2026

1) Civil Society Coalition Calls for Halt to Battalion Construction and National Strategic Projects (PSN) in Papua


2) Shining Light on the Secret War – West Papua forum
3) Central Papua ensures equal services for children with disabilities 

4) After years of progress, Indonesia risks ‘tragedy’ of a deforestation spike 
——————————————————————

A google translate.
Original Bahasa link

1) Civil Society Coalition Calls for Halt to Battalion Construction and National Strategic Projects (PSN) in Papua
February 7, 2026 in Press Release Reading Time: 2 mins read
0
Author: Jubi Admin - Editor: Arjuna Pademme


                                   

Illustration of a peaceful demonstration by church leaders and congregation members rejecting the construction of a TNI battalion in Biak, Papua, on Wednesday (February 4, 2026). Doc/IST.



Jayapura, Jubi – The Civil Society Coalition is calling on the state to halt the construction of battalions in Papua and National Strategic Projects (PSN) that are not in line with the wishes of the Papuan people.
The Civil Society Coalition made this call in a written press release received by Jubi on Saturday (February 7, 2026). The Civil Society Coalition consists of Centra Initiative, Imparsial, PBHI, KPI, HRWG, Raksha Initiative, and De Jure.

The Coalition stated that the call of the GKI Synod in Papua and its solidarity with the traditional council, youth leaders, and elements of the struggle in Papua regarding the PSN, the construction of new battalions, and military bases in Papua must be taken seriously.

It's not just about the state's approach to Papua; it must also practically consider the rights of the community, especially indigenous peoples.

According to the Coalition, this call demonstrates that development projects in Papua are being carried out by directives from the central government, without meaningful participation from the Papuan people.

In fact, projects and programs implemented by the government in Papua that do not involve indigenous Papuans are actually at risk of failure.

"Moreover, the majority of Papua's population consists of indigenous peoples who must be given special attention," wrote the Civil Society Coalition in its press release.

Furthermore, the Coalition continued, the construction of battalions, which the community has complained about through calls, demonstrates the ineffectiveness of the militaristic approach in Papua.

Instead of providing the best for the people of Papua, the construction of new battalions actually spreads and perpetuates terror among the people there.

The addition of battalions is considered to increase the potential for violence against the Papuan population and is potentially unaccountable in its implementation.

"The state must evaluate and reflect on the situation in Papua and the presence of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) in Papua in recent years, which has tended to give rise to violence and human rights violations."

The Civil Society Coalition also conveyed the following points: First, the government and the House of Representatives (DPR) should heed the calls made by the Papuan community regarding the construction of National Strategic Projects (PSN), new battalions, and new military bases in Papua.

The state must review and halt ongoing projects and programs, evaluate them, and ensure the participation of indigenous communities.

Second, the government must respect the principle of free, prior, and informed consent (PFPIC) of indigenous communities when implementing development projects and programs in Papua, as this principle has become a global agreement.

Third, the construction of new battalions and military bases in Papua must be cancelled, reflecting the Indonesian government's commitment to building a peaceful Papua.

Fourth, the House of Representatives (DPR) must provide direction and oversight to the government to ensure that the increasingly massive development and military deployment in Papua does not lead to militarization. (*)

---------------------------------------


2) Shining Light on the Secret War – West Papua forum,
 film screening and fundraiser 
Hosted by Julian King Bellingen Environment Centre Conferences & public forums, 
Regional NSW

When

Where

Bellingen Memorial Hall
32 Hyde St
Bellingen NSW 2454
Australia

Why

Join us for for this important information session and fundraiser in support of West Papuan self-determination and independence.

Julian King presents on his doctoral research including footage of the ongoing occupation, and pathways to peace and freedom. West Papuan student activist Beri Pahabol details life in the Territory. Ghanaian Jomo Hutaa updates on the West Papua Legal Campaign. Plus Mark Worth's documenatry Land of the Morning Star.

About West Papua

  • In 1963 Indonesia took over West Papua illegally, since then over 1 million people have been killed and many more displaced.
  • People are also dying of exposure, hunger, and lack of medicine.
  • Indonesian military uses sophisticated weaponry including helicopter gunships and drone bombers & over 60,000 troops against West Papuans — men women and children - with bows and arrows.
  • West Papuan people fought and died alongside Australians during WW2. They are allies, friends and family.
  • Papua is our nearest neighbour this is occurring just 200km north of mainland Australia.
  • A long time media blackout has kept this well hidden.
  • Did you know Australia has funded and trained Indonesian military, adding our weight to the imbalance of power?

We have a role to play by hearing this story, and an opportunity to support our West Papuan brothers and sisters. Why should we care? What can we do?

Contact

Julian King
truefreedom88@gmail.com

Bellingen Environment Centre
bellingenec@gmail.com
bec.org.au
Facebook · Instagram

Resources

Poster.


--------------------------------------------------------------

3) Central Papua ensures equal services for children with disabilities 
February 7, 2026 17:35 GMT+700


Nabire (ANTARA) - The Central Papua provincial government has pledged equal access to health and education services for children with disabilities by supporting the establishment of free therapy centers across the region, officials said on Saturday.

Central Papua Health Office official Budiono said in Nabire that the special needs children’s service center reflects the government’s responsibility, working with social institutions, to ensure no child is left behind in accessing essential services.

“The presence of this service center shows the government’s commitment to ensuring that all children, including those with special needs, have the same rights to grow, learn and build their future,” Budiono said.

He said the opening of the therapy center would ease a long-standing burden on families, who previously had to travel outside Central Papua to seek specialized treatment and developmental support for their children.

Beyond therapy, Budiono said the center also functions as an educational space for parents, helping them understand appropriate parenting approaches while fostering an inclusive environment that respects differences in children’s abilities.

The provincial government, he added, would continue to support the development of inclusive health and education facilities as part of efforts to build a just, equal and dignified society in Central Papua.

Meanwhile, Maria Yeti, chairperson of the Matahari Difabel Center Nabire Foundation, said the center was established in response to limited access to free therapy services for children with disabilities in the area.

She said many children required regular therapy but were constrained by high costs and long distances, making consistent treatment difficult for families with limited resources.

To address the gap, the foundation has been bringing in therapists from other regions to provide free services while working with local authorities to ensure sustainability.

“We hope this service center becomes a place where children with special needs and their families can easily access health and therapy support,” Maria said.

“It should also give them hope, without forcing them to seek help outside the region,” she added.

Local authorities say the initiative is part of broader efforts to strengthen social inclusion, improve early intervention for children with disabilities and ensure equal opportunities for development throughout Central Papua.

Related news: Govt presses for establishing research labs in malaria-endemic regions

Translator: Ali Nur Ichsan, Cindy Frishanti Octavia
Editor: Rahmad Nasution


————————————————————

4) After years of progress, Indonesia risks ‘tragedy’ of a deforestation spike 

Jeff Hutton 14 Jan 2026 Asia


  • Deforestation is accelerating, underscoring Indonesia’s reputation as a big greenhouse gas emitter and potentially inviting more scrutiny of its commodity exports.
  • Gross deforestation in Indonesia in 2025 was on track to at least match 2024’s tally, which reflected the most extensive losses since 2019, Indonesia’s forestry minister, Raja Juli Antoni, told a parliamentary committee in December.
  • Indonesia’s Merauke Food Estate project involves clearing at least 2 million hectares of forest, and worries are mounting that commodity exports may suffer if big markets like the EU force importers to prove they are not buying palm oil and other products that have resulted from clearing rainforest.
  • A reacceleration in the rate of Indonesia’s deforestation risks is also drawing attention to the country’s spotty climate record: At No. 6, Indonesia ranks among the top greenhouse gas emitters after China, the U.S., India, the EU and Russia.


After years of uneven progress, deforestation in Indonesia is poised to accelerate, owing to widespread logging, expanding plantations and mining.

In December, Indonesia’s forestry minister, Raja Juli Antoni, indicated the Southeast Asian nation had lost more forest during the first nine months of 2025 than the annual totals for any of the first three years of this decade.

Gross deforestation in Indonesia in 2025 was on track to at least match 2024’s tally, which reflected the most extensive losses since 2019, Antoni told a parliamentary committee in December.

As Indonesia pushes ahead with its Merauke Food Estate project, which involves clearing at least 2 million hectares (4.9 million acres) of forest in South Papua province, worries are mounting that Indonesia’s commodity exports may suffer if big markets like the EU force importers, including food-processing companies, to prove they are not buying palm oil and other products that have resulted from clearing rainforest.

“The tragedy of this project [Merauke Food Estate] is that it is undermining Indonesia’s recent success in the battle to halt global deforestation,” Amanda Hurowitz, forest commodities lead at nonprofit Mighty Earth, told Mongabay.


Deforestation accelerates

Indonesia’s deforestation slowed substantially during former President Joko Widodo’s second five-year term in office in part because of a moratorium on clearing forest for oil palm plantations following widespread fires a decade ago. Prior to that, for years, Indonesia was one of the world’s biggest deforestation hotspots as corporate-run plantations proliferated in Sumatra and Borneo.

Gross deforestation, not including replanted trees, covered an area of 166,500 hectares (411,000 acres) during the first nine months of 2025, Antoni told a parliamentary committee in December.

New area impacted by deforestation shrank to 119,100 hectares (294,000 acres) in 2020, roughly a quarter the level from the previous year when the Widodo administration issued a moratorium on new permits to clear primary forest. During the four years before 2024, annual increase in gross deforestation didn’t exceed 146,000 hectares (360,000 acres).

But last year’s official tally jumped by more than half to 216,000 (534,000 acres) — an understatement, according to NGO Auriga Nusantara, which puts the total at more than 260,000 hectares (642,000 acres).

Carbon credits fizzle

A reacceleration in the rate of Indonesia’s deforestation risks drawing attention to the country’s spotty climate record. At No. 6, Indonesia ranks among the top greenhouse gas emitters after China, the U.S., India, the EU and Russia, according to the EU’s 2025 Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research.

At a planned $1 billion auction of carbon credits at the COP30 Summit in Brazil, Indonesia managed to sell fewer than 2.8 million carbon credits out of 90 million on offer. Carbon credits based on fewer than half of its 40 energy and conservation projects found takers, the country’s climate envoy Hashim Djojohadikusumo said.

The government has yet to say how much it raised from the sale or the identities of the buyers, though some media reports indicate some of the takers included Indonesian state-owned companies such as oil and gas company Pertamina and lender Bank Mandiri.

“It means Indonesia doesn’t have a strong commitment to protect its forest or peatlands,” Bhima Yudhistira Adhinegara, executive director of the Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS), told Mongabay.

“The Indonesian government has tried to sell into the carbon market, but investors are thinking twice because saving the rainforest contradicts its goal of building food estates.”


Deforestation risk

Even so, Indonesian officials are pushing ahead with plans to develop a domestic biofuel industry that it hopes can eventually replace energy imports.

In mid-October, state-owned construction company PT Hutama Karya won a contract worth 4.8 trillion rupiah ($284 million), the biggest public construction tender in 2025, to build an 80-kilometer (50-mile) stretch of highway linking the coast of South Papua to an emerging 2-million-hectare (5-million-acre) food estate in the interior.

The food estate project, including the bioethanol factory and a 120-megawatt power station, will cost at least $8 billion to produce and store about 2 billion liters (528 million gallons) of bioethanol a year by the end of the decade, the government has said. Yearly production capacity of fuel-grade bioethanol is about 40 million liters (10.5 million gallons).

Indonesia and the EU inked the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (IEU-CEPA) earlier this year, assuring Indonesian palm oil enjoys tariff-free access to the world’s third-largest market.

Indonesia’s palm oil industry has called the IEU-CEPA a “golden ticket” for the country’s palm oil exports because the commodity will be free to compete on equal footing with domestic oils such as those derived from rapeseed.

Even so, a surge in deforestation may invite more scrutiny of Indonesian exports of seven commodities including soy, timber, cocoa, coffee, cattle, rubber as well as palm oil.

Under the EU’s 2023 deforestation regulation, known as the EUDR, food-processing companies and other big European customers of Indonesian commodities must check at least 3% of the country’s exports to ensure cargoes didn’t benefit from deforestation, the same proportion as those from Malaysia.

But if benchmarks including satellite and FAO data show a spike in the deforestation relative to Dec. 31, 2020, levels, the risk assessment may ratchet up one notch to “high,” triggering an audit of 9% of all listed commodities, representing a huge increase in costs for importers.

By comparison, commodity importers from low-risk countries must do background checks on 1% of the goods.


So far, the EU has not commented on Indonesia’s accelerating rate of deforestation. Last March, nearly two dozen civil society groups petitioned the EU Commission to consider the loss of forest cover owing to the Merauke Food Estate, the impact on Indigenous communities and the use of military personnel to protect the project a violation of the EUDR, the groups said.

Companies found to have imported palm oil derived from deforestation practices face a risk of losing 4% of revenues, a daunting prospect CELIOS’s Adhinegara said.

“If Indonesia opens up more forest land to produce palm oil, it can still be very dangerous for its exports.”

Banner image: A man inspects logs near several wood pellet production companies in Indonesia’s Gorontalo province on the island of Sulawesi in 2024. Image by AP Photo/Yegar Sahaduta Mangiri.


 Philip Jacobson Editor

--------------------------