https://asiapacificreport.nz/2025/05/12/fighting-more-frequent-now-researcher-warns-of-escalating-west-papua-conflict/
1) ‘Fighting more frequent now’ – researcher warns of escalating West Papua conflict
By Caleb Fotheringham, RNZ Pacific journalist
The escalation of violence in West Papua is on par with some of the most intense times of conflict over the past six decades, a human rights researcher says.
The United Liberation Movement for West Papua (ULMWP) claims that Indonesia killed at least one civilian and severely injured another last Tuesday in Puncak Regency.
In a statement, ULMWP interim president Benny Wenda said Deris Kogoya, 18, was killed by a rocket attack from a helicopter while riding his motorbike near Kelanungin Village.
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Jemi Waker, meanwhile, sustained severe violent injuries, including to both his legs.
The statement said Waker had refused to go to hospital, fearing he would be killed if he went.
Human Rights Watch researcher Andreas Harsono said that over the past month he had received an unusually high number of messages accompanied by gruesome photos showing either Indonesian soldiers or civilians being killed.
“The fighting is much more frequent now,” Harsono said.
More Indonesian soldiers
“There are more and more Indonesian soldiers sent to West Papua under President Pradowo.
“At the same time, indigenous Papuans are also gaining more and more men, unfortunately also boys, to join the fight in the jungle.”
He said the escalation could match similarly intense periods of conflict in 1977, 1984, and 2004.
A spokesperson for Indonesia’s Embassy in Wellington said they could not confirm if there had been a military attack in Puncak Regency on Tuesday.
However, they said all actions conducted by Indonesia’s military were in line with international law.
They said there were attacks in March and April of this year, instigated by an “armed criminal group” targeting Indonesian workers and civilians.
Harsono said if the attack was on civilians, it would be a clear breach of human rights.
Confirmation difficult
However, he said it was difficult to confirm due to the remoteness of the area. He said it was common for civilians to wear army camouflage because of surplus Indonesian uniforms.
ULMWP’s Benny Wenda said West Papuans were “a forgotten, voiceless people”.
“Where is the attention of the media and the international community? How many children must be killed before they notice we are dying?”
Wenda compared the lack of attention with the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israel-Palestine conflict that was getting more media attention.
He said Indonesia had banned media “to prevent journalists from telling the world what is really going on”.
The Indonesian Embassy spokesperson said foreign journalists were not allowed in the area for their own safety.
This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ.
He tohe mō te mana motuhake
- Honour the Responsibility to Protect (R2P), which states that if a state fails to protect its people, it is the responsibility of the other states to take collective action. R2P was endorsed by the UN General Assembly in 2005 to address concerns to prevent genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing, and crimes against humanity.
- Rather than treating human rights violations and ecocide as isolated cases, Mote urged the UN Secretary-General to mandate the High Commissioner to issue a comprehensive report.
- Follow up on Valmaine Toki’s 2013 study on the Decolonisation of the Pacific region.
- Returning West Papua to the UN’s decolonisation committee’s list - known as C24, which focuses on territories identified as “non-self-governing”.
Formal demands have been lodged by 332 retired senior soldiers and cops to sack Indonesia’s vice-president, and return the 25-year-old democracy to military rule – cries that should frighten Australia’s new government.
Yesteryear’s warriors want a return “to the original 1945 Constitution as the political legal system and government order”. The founding document has been amended four times since it was first written in 1945.
Till now the oldies’ move has been mainly the rattling of walking sticks; now its powerful Forum Purnawirawan TNI-Polri (Forum of Retired Military and Police) has reportedly asked the Parliament to dismiss Vice-President Gibran Rakabuming, former president Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo’s eldest son.
The complainants assert Gibran was illegally allowed to partner disgraced former general Prabowo Subianto at last year’s Presidential election in a nepotistic deal.
This was allegedly engineered by Jokowi in return for guarantees work would continue on his unfinished legacy project Nusantara, the US$36 billion new capital in Kalimantan on Borneo Island to replace overcrowded and sinking Jakarta. As usual, costs are blowing out.
Why stir?
The reasons behind the supposed reformers’ eight points for removing Gibran from the nation’s second-most important position are complex and ideological.
Their motives are also suspect. They haven’t yet suggested a replacement or called for a re-election. Gibran’s other faults are that he’s never worn a uniform, and comes from a civilian small-business background.
More seriously they’re not concerned with what Gibran has done – which is little. His principal error is that he got his job through a relative.
Gibran was barred from standing for election last year because he was under 40. That problem was fixed by his uncle Anwar Usman, the chair of the Constitutional Court.
He ruled that his nephew was immune from the ban because he’d been mayor of the small Central Java city of Solo.
The judge later lost his position for what his colleagues considered an unethical ruling – but his finding wasn’t rescinded. The critics want that changed.
Anwar’s decision meant Prabowo had what he needed for his 58% election success in a three-way contest. The law allows a president only two five-year terms so Jokowi could not recontest.
Why Gibran?
Campaign tacticians reckoned popular predecessor Jokowi lending his eldest to the race would draw youth to the ballot box, for voting isn’t compulsory.
The calculator-stabbers were probably right in drafting Gibran because more than 50% of electors were under 40, and thus had little experience of last century’s autocracy.
Now the vice-president is considered surplus to requirements, his continuing presence arousing envy. At 37, he’s nimble and half the age of his plump leader Prabowo, 73.
Gibran’s other flaws are that he’s rarely heard and seldom seen and then only when cutting ribbons. He comes across as a dour man who doesn’t enjoy his job, blinking in the sunlight of political reality.
It was different when he was shoulder tapped, shining with 21st century cool. By his side were TV presenter and beauty contest winner wife Selvi Ananda and two kids. The ad men salivated.
In normal times, such family qualities would be outstanding credentials in a country where personalities matter more than policies, but Gibran’s beloved came with baggage: She was a Catholic.
Not so good in a country where tolerance is claimed but rare; mosque influence is almost equal to that of the military. Love and ambition were stronger than faith, so Selvi converted.
Prabowo is often out of the country when the vice-president would be exercising his delegate’s powers – though probably mindful of early advice from his Dad who allegedly told him:
“Ojo kemajon” (don’t cross the line). This is typically cryptic Javanese, and Jokowi is a master of ambiguous statements.
Commentators reckon Papa was warning his commercial caterer offspring to remember his place and never eclipse the authoritarian and mercurial Prabowo who is known for going alone. Like Trump, he rarely consults his “ bloated Cabinet” of 48 ministers and 58 vice–ministers.(Jokowi had 34 ministers and 30 vice-ministers.)
Conspiracy theorists suggest Prabowo wants Gibran gone because he’s Jowowi’s secret agent – and who better to help open the door than soldiers.
The reaction
Prabowo could have intervened personally in the clamour and forcefully backed his vice-president, rebuked the stirrers (mainly former colleagues) and crushed the undermining gossip.
Instead, he got an eight-man leadership education agency he controls – the National Resilience Institute (Lembaga Ketahanan Nasional ) to declare that the vice-president’s election was valid.
Not being independent Constitutional academics, their leave-well-alone reasoning was suspect.
Prabowo also tossed another yesteryear warrior into the ring – not to heal, but confuse. Wiranto, 78, special adviser to the president for Politics and Security is a controversial figure allegedly involved in human rights abuses in East Timor like his boss – charges he’s denied.
In 1998, after the fall of Suharto, the role of Armed Forces Commander, sought by Prabowo, was landed by Wiranto. He later made an unsuccessful pitch for the presidency.
Wiranto has told the media that Prabowo “respects the aspirations” of the Forum and wants time to consider their concerns.
“(The President must) study them one by one, because these are not trivial issues, very fundamental issues … his power is also limited. In a country that adheres to the trias politica, there is a separation between the executive, legislative, and judiciary, they cannot interfere with each other there.
“The president’s attitude (is) not to disrupt, but to still respect."
The Chinese
If the petition to the legislature succeeds, neighbour Australia will have to recalibrate policies with the world’s largest population of Muslims; the PRC will be dragged in and outraged because his old mates also want Chinese workers deported. Their urgings fit a resurgence of Sinophobia and the march back to army control.
Prabowo has been cosying up to Beijing — his first overseas stop as president last November — and so he wants to stay sweet with the big funder.
The nickel mines in Sulawesi, which have put Australian smelters out of business by undermining prices, are believed to be largely managed by Chinese engineers and administrators. They’ve been funded by Beijing and the wheelchair battalions still hate Reds.
Dr Vedi Hadiz, professor of Asian Studies at Melbourne University, told Michael West Media that it’s in Prabowo’s interest to gradually sideline Gibran. “But he can’t risk the instability of a Constitutional crisis now, with the economy going the way it is.
“The Chinese will be concerned and look at Indonesian developments with a watchful eye. But they also know that no government can just suddenly expel them from nickel mining in which they allegedly have 75% control.”
As Canberra’s foreign affairs gurus open their keyboards, they’ll be asking AI: Is Indonesia coming apart – and if so, are we prepared? As relations with the folk next door have been ill-maintained for years, a ready-to-hand Plan B is unlikely.
In the 1965 coup, an estimated 500,000 were slaughtered in a military-organised genocide against real or imagined communists exposed by Australian academic Dr Jess Melvin. Be the deity Muslim, Christian or something else, the prayers will be for no-repeat – ever.
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